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The War for Telecom Supremacy: Reliance’s Jio Plot Thickens
Reliance Industries, India’s behemoth company, may be hiding a shocking plan to ditch its telecom arm, Jio, to the wolves. The puppet masters at Jefferies have let the cat out of the bag, suggesting a spinoff could be in the works as early as 2025. But what’s driving this decision? Is it the lucrative profits Jio is reeling in from its price hike strategy? Or is Reliance just desperate to offload its loss-making liability?
The spinoff move would see Jio, valued at a staggering $58 billion pre-money in 2020, finally get a chance to breathe on its own two feet. Or will it? Analysts at Jefferies predict a valuation of $112 billion for Jio if it goes public, a number that would send Reliance’s stock soaring by 7-15%. But will this be a blessing in disguise, or a curse that further fuels the already rampant speculation in India’s telecom market?
The Price of Greed
Reliance has already demonstrated its willingness to do whatever it takes to prop up its flailing financial services arm. Jio Financial Services, demerged last year, has seen its stock surge by 40% since its debut. Meanwhile, Reliance has been riding the coattails of its own success, outperforming the Nifty index by 1,100 basis points. The writing is on the wall: Reliance is addicted to quick fixes and easy profits, no matter the cost to its stakeholders.
The War for India’s Telecom Throne
Jio, with its 475 million wireless subscribers, is the new kid on the block, but its rise to prominence has sent shockwaves through India’s telecom industry. Airtel, the incumbent king, is shaking in its boots. Bank of America’s recent valuation of Jio at a staggering $107 billion has only fueled the frenzy. But is this the tip of the iceberg, or just the beginning of a telecom war that will leave India reeling?
The Hidden Agenda
So, what’s the real motive behind Reliance’s rumored spinoff plans? Is it to create a separate entity to mop up excess cash, or is it a ploy to create a paper tiger, only to later consolidate power and crush any opposition? Only time will tell. But one thing is certain: India’s telecom market will never be the same again.



